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F1 Fantasy Results: Japanese Grand Prix 2026

By · How this analysis is made

Recorded F1 Fantasy results and forecast review for the Japanese Grand Prix (round 3, 2026). Kimi Antonelli led the driver scoring with 50 points. The actual tables come first; the original prediction remains below for transparency.

Race complete · archived forecast generated 2026-05-16 · base fantasy scores exclude manager-specific boosts.

Recorded F1 Fantasy results

The race is complete. These are recorded base fantasy scores, without a manager-specific 2x or 3x multiplier.

Top fantasy driverKimi Antonelli50 pts
Top constructorMercedes92 pts
Best driver valueNico Hulkenberg3.33 PPM
Forecast top-five overlap4 of 56.6 pts MAE

Driver fantasy points

RankDriverTeamQuali→RaceGainedOvertakesFantasy ptsPPM
1Kimi AntonelliMercedesP1→P105501.97
2Oscar PiastriMclarenP3→P216431.73
3Charles LeclercFerrariP4→P318311.34
4George RussellMercedesP2→P4-28270.97
5Lando NorrisMclarenP5→P508240.94
6Lewis HamiltonFerrariP6→P606190.78
7Pierre GaslyAlpineP7→P704141.09
8Max VerstappenRed BullP11→P836130.47
9Liam LawsonRacing BullsP14→P953101.12
10Nico HulkenbergAudiP13→P1128103.33
11Esteban OconHaasP12→P102690.89
12Isack HadjarRed BullP8→P12-4650.39
13Carlos SainzWilliamsP16→P151340.35
14Franco ColapintoAlpineP15→P16-1540.41
15Sergio PerezCadillacP19→P172240.71
16Fernando AlonsoAston MartinP21→P183140.71
17Gabriel BortoletoAudiP9→P13-4530.50
18Valtteri BottasCadillacP20→P191120.67
19Arvid LindbladRacing BullsP10→P14-4410.16
20Alex AlbonWilliamsP17→P20-32-1-0.13
21Oliver BearmanHaasP18→DNF06-14-2.00
22Lance StrollAston MartinP22→DNF03-17-4.72

Constructor fantasy points

RankConstructorQualiRaceSprintPit stopsFantasy ptsPPM
1Mercedes195805922.90
2Ferrari1238015752.92
3McLaren144305722.39
4Red Bull31502250.83
5Alpine41402251.45
6Audi21105234.60
7Racing Bulls11002181.62
8Williams030590.62
9Cadillac060051.04
10Haas0-500-4-0.39
11Aston Martin0-1302-12-1.90

Forecast review

Archived top pick: Kimi Antonelli was projected for 34.2 points and recorded 50, ranking 1st among drivers. The forecast placed 4 of the actual top five inside its projected top five; the all-driver mean absolute points error was 6.6. See the full public accuracy record.

Source: recorded round result JSON. Scores can be corrected when the official game revises provisional results; material changes are published in the Changelog.

View season points & prices →Prediction accuracy →

Archived pre-race prediction

Historical forecast. Everything below this point is the model output saved before the race. It is preserved so readers can compare the recommendation with the recorded result above.
Leading boost candidate: Kimi Antonelli — our highest risk-adjusted expected scorer at the Japanese GP (~34 pts). If you use 3x Boost, this is the model's leading candidate. Autopilot instead protects you by applying 2x to your best actual scorer. For value, Gabriel Bortoleto offers the best points per million.

Archived optimized forecast lineup: Japanese Grand Prix

This was the model's $100M Balanced lineup before the race — the mean of deterministic projected points and the risk-adjusted simulation mean — with a normal 2x boost on Kimi Antonelli. It is preserved for review and is not a current recommendation.

PickSlotPriceBalanced pts
Kimi AntonelliDriver / 2x boost$24.1M34.2
Gabriel BortoletoDriver$5.8M11.3
Nico HulkenbergDriver$5.0M3.4
Lance StrollDriver$6.2M0.2
Valtteri BottasDriver$4.1M-0.6
MercedesConstructor$30.2M90.7
FerrariConstructor$24.2M69.4
Optimized team total: 242.8 balanced pts with normal 2x boost · Cost: $99.6M · Bank: $0.4M.

Archived driver projections

Ranked by the archived forecast of fantasy points for the Japanese GP. PPM = points per $million (value).

#DriverTeamPriceQuali→RacePred. ptsPPM
1Kimi AntonelliMercedes$24.1MP2→P134.21.42
2George RussellMercedes$28.3MP1→P234.01.20
3Charles LeclercFerrari$23.7MP3→P428.21.19
4Oscar PiastriMcLaren$24.6MP5→P327.01.10
5Lewis HamiltonFerrari$23.2MP7→P619.20.83
6Lando NorrisMcLaren$26.5MP6→P518.60.70
7Esteban OconHaas$9.1MP14→P1114.11.55
8Pierre GaslyAlpine$13.0MP9→P713.11.01
9Arvid LindbladRacing Bulls$7.6MP13→P1012.31.62
10Gabriel BortoletoAudi$5.8MP18→P1211.31.95

Archived value projections (PPM)

The most points per $million spent — the budget-stretchers that let you afford a premium elsewhere.

DriverTeamPricePred. ptsPPM
Gabriel BortoletoAudi$5.8M11.31.95
Arvid LindbladRacing Bulls$7.6M12.31.62
Esteban OconHaas$9.1M14.11.55
Kimi AntonelliMercedes$24.1M34.21.42
George RussellMercedes$28.3M34.01.20
Charles LeclercFerrari$23.7M28.21.19

Archived constructor projections

Constructors score both their drivers' points plus pit-stop points and a qualifying bonus — don't overlook them.

ConstructorPricePred. ptsPit-stop ptsPPM
Mercedes$30.2M90.714.43.00
Ferrari$24.2M69.413.42.87
McLaren$28.6M68.414.32.39
Red Bull$29.1M42.416.01.46
Alpine$14.3M32.010.12.24
Racing Bulls$8.1M28.411.83.51
Haas$9.2M26.88.72.91
Audi$5.6M23.47.84.18

FAQ

Who scored the most F1 Fantasy points at the Japanese GP 2026?

Kimi Antonelli recorded 50 base fantasy points, the highest driver total for the round.

Which constructor scored the most fantasy points at the Japanese GP?

Mercedes led the constructor scoring with 92 points.

Do these Japanese GP results include 2x or 3x boosts?

No. The result tables show each asset's recorded base fantasy score. Manager-specific 2x and 3x multipliers depend on the lineup and are not included.

How accurate was the Japanese GP forecast?

The archived forecast placed 4 of the actual top five drivers inside its projected top five. Its all-driver mean absolute fantasy-points error was 6.6. The original forecast remains on the page below the results.

View season points & prices →Prediction accuracy →