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Max Verstappen F1 Fantasy 2026
Max Verstappen is ranked #7 by expected F1 Fantasy points for the Spanish Grand Prix (Madrid), with a current projection of 16.7 points.
Current projection
| Current team | Red Bull |
|---|---|
| Current price | $27.4M |
| Expected points | 16.7 |
| Projected points | 15.2 |
| Value rating | 0.61 PPM (#13 of 22) |
| Predicted quali | P7 |
| Predicted finish | P6 |
| 90% confidence range | -14.5 to 44.0 pts |
| DNF probability | 18% |
| Expected overtakes | 5.0 |
Against the full driver field, Max Verstappen ranks #7 for expected points and #13 for points per million. The deterministic projection is 15.2 points, while the risk-adjusted simulation mean is 16.7.
Where the projection comes from
| Expected qualifying contribution | 4.6 pts |
|---|---|
| Expected race contribution | 12.1 pts |
| Expected positions gained/lost | +1.0 |
| Fastest-lap probability | 7% |
| Driver of the Day probability | 7% |
| Model confidence | 60% |
| Risk band | MEDIUM |
The model expects Max Verstappen to move from P7 in qualifying to P6 in the race, with 5.0 expected overtakes. These are forecast components, not guaranteed scoring events.
Risk and upside
The 90% simulation interval runs from -14.5 to 44.0 points, around a 16.7-point mean. The modeled DNF probability is 18% and the current risk band is MEDIUM. For this round, the price profile reads as premium upside; weather, reliability, safety cars, strategy and incidents can still move the outcome sharply.
2026 fantasy form
BoxBox's completed-round history records 295 fantasy points for Max Verstappen across 13 rounds in 2026: 22.7 per round on average and a 26.0-point median. The latest three-round average is 21.0, which is below the season average.
| Round | Race | Fantasy pts | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R15 | Italian GP | 37 | Finished |
| R14 | Dutch GP | -13 | DNF |
| R13 | Hungarian GP | 39 | Finished |
| R12 | Belgian GP | 26 | Finished |
| R11 | British GP | -3 | Finished |
Season range: best result 52 points at the Miami GP; lowest result -13 at the Dutch GP; 2 recorded DNFs.
Use this projection
Open the Spanish GP (Madrid) picks page for the full race context, compare Max Verstappen with the rest of the driver field, or test the pick alongside Red Bull in the live Optimizer. This page currently reflects the pre-practice model stage.
FAQ
How many F1 Fantasy points is Max Verstappen projected to score?
Max Verstappen is currently projected for 16.7 expected fantasy points at the Spanish GP (Madrid). The 90% simulation range is -14.5 to 44.0 points.
Is Max Verstappen good value in F1 Fantasy?
Max Verstappen costs $27.4M and has a value rating of 0.61 points per million for this round, so the model currently treats this as premium upside.
What team does Max Verstappen drive for?
Max Verstappen is listed with Red Bull in the current BoxBoxF1Fantasy prediction file.
How has Max Verstappen scored in F1 Fantasy this season?
BoxBox's completed-round history records 295 points across 13 rounds for Max Verstappen, an average of 22.7 per round. The latest three-round average is 21.0.