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Mercedes F1 Fantasy Constructor 2026
Mercedes is ranked #2 by expected constructor points for the United States Grand Prix, with a current projection of 60.0 points.
Current projection
| Full team name | Mercedes-AMG Petronas F1 Team |
|---|---|
| Listed drivers | George Russell and Kimi Antonelli |
| Current price | $34.0M |
| Expected points | 60.0 |
| Projected points | 67.2 |
| Expected pit-stop points | 7.6 |
| Qualifying bonus | 10.0 |
| Value rating | 1.76 PPM (#4 of 11) |
| 90% confidence range | 22.7 to 89.0 pts |
| DNF probability | 9% |
Against all 11 constructors, Mercedes ranks #2 for expected points and #4 for points per million. The deterministic projection is 67.2 points, while the risk-adjusted simulation mean is 60.0.
Where the constructor projection comes from
| Qualifying contribution estimate | 24.0 pts |
|---|---|
| Race contribution estimate | 36.2 pts |
| Expected pit-stop points | 7.6 pts |
| Qualifying teamwork bonus | 10.0 pts |
| Expected DNF impact | -2.2 pts |
| Model risk band | LOW |
These contribution estimates describe the scoring inputs around the deterministic forecast. They should not be added together and treated as the risk-adjusted mean, because the Monte Carlo simulation also samples correlated driver outcomes, DNFs and pit-stop results.
Driver contribution outlook
| Driver | Price | Exp. pts | Quali→Race | DNF risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Russell | $27.9M | 19.7 | P5→P4 | 14% |
| Kimi Antonelli | $27.1M | 24.0 | P3→P3 | 4% |
Constructor scoring uses both listed drivers plus constructor-only bonuses. Driver boost multipliers never increase Mercedes's constructor total.
Risk and upside
The 90% constructor interval runs from 22.7 to 89.0 points, around a 60.0-point mean. The modeled DNF probability is 9% and the current risk band is LOW. Both cars, pit execution, weather and race incidents can widen the result.
2026 constructor form
BoxBox's completed-round history records 1373 fantasy points for Mercedes across 17 rounds in 2026: 80.8 per round on average and a 85.0-point median. The latest three-round average is 64.0, which is below the season average.
| Round | Race | Constructor pts |
|---|---|---|
| R19 | Singapore GP | 65 |
| R18 | Bahrain GP in Malaysia | 39 |
| R17 | Azerbaijan GP | 88 |
| R16 | Spanish GP (Madrid) | 87 |
| R15 | Italian GP | 128 |
Season range: best result 128 points at the Italian GP; lowest result 39 at the Spanish GP.
Use this projection
Open the United States GP picks page for full race context, compare Mercedes with the constructor field, inspect George Russell and Kimi Antonelli, or test the team in the live Optimizer. This page currently reflects the post-practice model stage.
FAQ
How many F1 Fantasy points is Mercedes projected to score?
Mercedes is currently projected for 60.0 expected fantasy points at the United States GP. The 90% simulation range is 22.7 to 89.0 points.
Is Mercedes good value in F1 Fantasy?
Mercedes costs $34.0M and has a value rating of 1.76 points per million for this round.
Which drivers count toward Mercedes constructor points?
The current prediction file lists George Russell and Kimi Antonelli for Mercedes. Constructor points include both drivers' qualifying and race scoring, pit-stop points and the qualifying teamwork bonus.
How has Mercedes scored in F1 Fantasy this season?
BoxBox's completed-round history records 1373 points across 17 rounds for Mercedes, an average of 80.8 per round. The latest three-round average is 64.0.