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Mercedes F1 Fantasy Constructor 2026
Mercedes is ranked #1 by expected constructor points for the Spanish Grand Prix (Madrid), with a current projection of 68.3 points.
Current projection
| Full team name | Mercedes-AMG Petronas F1 Team |
|---|---|
| Listed drivers | George Russell and Kimi Antonelli |
| Current price | $33.2M |
| Expected points | 68.3 |
| Projected points | 85.9 |
| Expected pit-stop points | 7.3 |
| Qualifying bonus | 10.0 |
| Value rating | 2.06 PPM (#2 of 11) |
| 90% confidence range | 26.3 to 98.0 pts |
| DNF probability | 11% |
Against all 11 constructors, Mercedes ranks #1 for expected points and #2 for points per million. The deterministic projection is 85.9 points, while the risk-adjusted simulation mean is 68.3.
Where the constructor projection comes from
| Qualifying contribution estimate | 29.0 pts |
|---|---|
| Race contribution estimate | 50.3 pts |
| Expected pit-stop points | 7.3 pts |
| Qualifying teamwork bonus | 10.0 pts |
| Expected DNF impact | -2.5 pts |
| Model risk band | MEDIUM |
These contribution estimates describe the scoring inputs around the deterministic forecast. They should not be added together and treated as the risk-adjusted mean, because the Monte Carlo simulation also samples correlated driver outcomes, DNFs and pit-stop results.
Driver contribution outlook
| Driver | Price | Exp. pts | Quali→Race | DNF risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Russell | $27.7M | 25.1 | P2→P1 | 16% |
| Kimi Antonelli | $26.3M | 27.5 | P1→P2 | 5% |
Constructor scoring uses both listed drivers plus constructor-only bonuses. Driver boost multipliers never increase Mercedes's constructor total.
Risk and upside
The 90% constructor interval runs from 26.3 to 98.0 points, around a 68.3-point mean. The modeled DNF probability is 11% and the current risk band is MEDIUM. Both cars, pit execution, weather and race incidents can widen the result.
2026 constructor form
BoxBox's completed-round history records 1094 fantasy points for Mercedes across 13 rounds in 2026: 84.2 per round on average and a 85.0-point median. The latest three-round average is 94.3, which is above the season average.
| Round | Race | Constructor pts |
|---|---|---|
| R15 | Italian GP | 128 |
| R14 | Dutch GP | 84 |
| R13 | Hungarian GP | 71 |
| R12 | Belgian GP | 42 |
| R11 | British GP | 92 |
Season range: best result 128 points at the Italian GP; lowest result 39 at the Spanish GP.
Use this projection
Open the Spanish GP (Madrid) picks page for full race context, compare Mercedes with the constructor field, inspect George Russell and Kimi Antonelli, or test the team in the live Optimizer. This page currently reflects the pre-practice model stage.
FAQ
How many F1 Fantasy points is Mercedes projected to score?
Mercedes is currently projected for 68.3 expected fantasy points at the Spanish GP (Madrid). The 90% simulation range is 26.3 to 98.0 points.
Is Mercedes good value in F1 Fantasy?
Mercedes costs $33.2M and has a value rating of 2.06 points per million for this round.
Which drivers count toward Mercedes constructor points?
The current prediction file lists George Russell and Kimi Antonelli for Mercedes. Constructor points include both drivers' qualifying and race scoring, pit-stop points and the qualifying teamwork bonus.
How has Mercedes scored in F1 Fantasy this season?
BoxBox's completed-round history records 1094 points across 13 rounds for Mercedes, an average of 84.2 per round. The latest three-round average is 94.3.