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Lewis Hamilton F1 Fantasy 2026
Lewis Hamilton is ranked #4 by expected F1 Fantasy points for the United States Grand Prix, with a current projection of 20.7 points.
Current projection
| Current team | Ferrari |
|---|---|
| Current price | $24.4M |
| Expected points | 20.7 |
| Projected points | 21.2 |
| Value rating | 0.85 PPM (#8 of 22) |
| Predicted quali | P2 |
| Predicted finish | P5 |
| 90% confidence range | -8.8 to 41.0 pts |
| DNF probability | 10% |
| Expected overtakes | 6.0 |
Against the full driver field, Lewis Hamilton ranks #4 for expected points and #8 for points per million. The deterministic projection is 21.2 points, while the risk-adjusted simulation mean is 20.7.
Where the projection comes from
| Expected qualifying contribution | 7.8 pts |
|---|---|
| Expected race contribution | 13.0 pts |
| Expected positions gained/lost | -3.0 |
| Fastest-lap probability | 7% |
| Driver of the Day probability | 6% |
| Model confidence | 93% |
| Risk band | LOW |
The model expects Lewis Hamilton to move from P2 in qualifying to P5 in the race, with 6.0 expected overtakes. These are forecast components, not guaranteed scoring events.
Risk and upside
The 90% simulation interval runs from -8.8 to 41.0 points, around a 20.7-point mean. The modeled DNF probability is 10% and the current risk band is LOW. For this round, the price profile reads as premium upside; weather, reliability, safety cars, strategy and incidents can still move the outcome sharply.
2026 fantasy form
BoxBox's completed-round history records 460 fantasy points for Lewis Hamilton across 17 rounds in 2026: 27.1 per round on average and a 26.0-point median. The latest three-round average is 26.7, which is in line with the season average.
| Round | Race | Fantasy pts | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R19 | Singapore GP | 33 | Finished |
| R18 | Bahrain GP in Malaysia | 32 | Finished |
| R17 | Azerbaijan GP | 15 | Finished |
| R16 | Spanish GP (Madrid) | -13 | DNF |
| R15 | Italian GP | 26 | Finished |
Season range: best result 56 points at the Spanish GP; lowest result -13 at the Spanish GP (Madrid); 1 recorded DNF.
Use this projection
Open the United States GP picks page for the full race context, compare Lewis Hamilton with the rest of the driver field, or test the pick alongside Ferrari in the live Optimizer. This page currently reflects the post-practice model stage.
FAQ
How many F1 Fantasy points is Lewis Hamilton projected to score?
Lewis Hamilton is currently projected for 20.7 expected fantasy points at the United States GP. The 90% simulation range is -8.8 to 41.0 points.
Is Lewis Hamilton good value in F1 Fantasy?
Lewis Hamilton costs $24.4M and has a value rating of 0.85 points per million for this round, so the model currently treats this as premium upside.
What team does Lewis Hamilton drive for?
Lewis Hamilton is listed with Ferrari in the current BoxBoxF1Fantasy prediction file.
How has Lewis Hamilton scored in F1 Fantasy this season?
BoxBox's completed-round history records 460 points across 17 rounds for Lewis Hamilton, an average of 27.1 per round. The latest three-round average is 26.7.