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Oscar Piastri F1 Fantasy 2026
Oscar Piastri is ranked #6 by expected F1 Fantasy points for the Spanish Grand Prix (Madrid), with a current projection of 17.5 points.
Current projection
| Current team | McLaren |
|---|---|
| Current price | $24.0M |
| Expected points | 17.5 |
| Projected points | 12.6 |
| Value rating | 0.73 PPM (#10 of 22) |
| Predicted quali | P6 |
| Predicted finish | P7 |
| 90% confidence range | -12.3 to 43.0 pts |
| DNF probability | 11% |
| Expected overtakes | 4.0 |
Against the full driver field, Oscar Piastri ranks #6 for expected points and #10 for points per million. The deterministic projection is 12.6 points, while the risk-adjusted simulation mean is 17.5.
Where the projection comes from
| Expected qualifying contribution | 5.1 pts |
|---|---|
| Expected race contribution | 12.4 pts |
| Expected positions gained/lost | -1.0 |
| Fastest-lap probability | 4% |
| Driver of the Day probability | 3% |
| Model confidence | 60% |
| Risk band | MEDIUM |
The model expects Oscar Piastri to move from P6 in qualifying to P7 in the race, with 4.0 expected overtakes. These are forecast components, not guaranteed scoring events.
Risk and upside
The 90% simulation interval runs from -12.3 to 43.0 points, around a 17.5-point mean. The modeled DNF probability is 11% and the current risk band is MEDIUM. For this round, the price profile reads as premium upside; weather, reliability, safety cars, strategy and incidents can still move the outcome sharply.
2026 fantasy form
BoxBox's completed-round history records 216 fantasy points for Oscar Piastri across 13 rounds in 2026: 16.6 per round on average and a 19.0-point median. The latest three-round average is 15.0, which is below the season average.
| Round | Race | Fantasy pts | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R15 | Italian GP | 35 | Finished |
| R14 | Dutch GP | 21 | Finished |
| R13 | Hungarian GP | -11 | DNF |
| R12 | Belgian GP | 19 | Finished |
| R11 | British GP | 19 | Finished |
Season range: best result 43 points at the Japanese GP; lowest result -14 at the Australian GP; 1 recorded DNF.
Use this projection
Open the Spanish GP (Madrid) picks page for the full race context, compare Oscar Piastri with the rest of the driver field, or test the pick alongside McLaren in the live Optimizer. This page currently reflects the pre-practice model stage.
FAQ
How many F1 Fantasy points is Oscar Piastri projected to score?
Oscar Piastri is currently projected for 17.5 expected fantasy points at the Spanish GP (Madrid). The 90% simulation range is -12.3 to 43.0 points.
Is Oscar Piastri good value in F1 Fantasy?
Oscar Piastri costs $24.0M and has a value rating of 0.73 points per million for this round, so the model currently treats this as premium upside.
What team does Oscar Piastri drive for?
Oscar Piastri is listed with McLaren in the current BoxBoxF1Fantasy prediction file.
How has Oscar Piastri scored in F1 Fantasy this season?
BoxBox's completed-round history records 216 points across 13 rounds for Oscar Piastri, an average of 16.6 per round. The latest three-round average is 15.0.