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Oscar Piastri F1 Fantasy 2026
Oscar Piastri is ranked #7 by expected F1 Fantasy points for the United States Grand Prix, with a current projection of 15.7 points.
Current projection
| Current team | McLaren |
|---|---|
| Current price | $23.4M |
| Expected points | 15.7 |
| Projected points | 17.4 |
| Value rating | 0.67 PPM (#10 of 22) |
| Predicted quali | P7 |
| Predicted finish | P6 |
| 90% confidence range | -11.7 to 35.0 pts |
| DNF probability | 8% |
| Expected overtakes | 5.0 |
Against the full driver field, Oscar Piastri ranks #7 for expected points and #10 for points per million. The deterministic projection is 17.4 points, while the risk-adjusted simulation mean is 15.7.
Where the projection comes from
| Expected qualifying contribution | 4.3 pts |
|---|---|
| Expected race contribution | 11.4 pts |
| Expected positions gained/lost | +1.0 |
| Fastest-lap probability | 7% |
| Driver of the Day probability | 6% |
| Model confidence | 95% |
| Risk band | LOW |
The model expects Oscar Piastri to move from P7 in qualifying to P6 in the race, with 5.0 expected overtakes. These are forecast components, not guaranteed scoring events.
Risk and upside
The 90% simulation interval runs from -11.7 to 35.0 points, around a 15.7-point mean. The modeled DNF probability is 8% and the current risk band is LOW. For this round, the price profile reads as premium upside; weather, reliability, safety cars, strategy and incidents can still move the outcome sharply.
2026 fantasy form
BoxBox's completed-round history records 260 fantasy points for Oscar Piastri across 17 rounds in 2026: 15.3 per round on average and a 19.0-point median. The latest three-round average is 11.7, which is below the season average.
| Round | Race | Fantasy pts | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R19 | Singapore GP | 6 | Finished |
| R18 | Bahrain GP in Malaysia | 29 | Finished |
| R17 | Azerbaijan GP | 0 | Finished |
| R16 | Spanish GP (Madrid) | 9 | Finished |
| R15 | Italian GP | 35 | Finished |
Season range: best result 43 points at the Japanese GP; lowest result -14 at the Australian GP; 1 recorded DNF.
Use this projection
Open the United States GP picks page for the full race context, compare Oscar Piastri with the rest of the driver field, or test the pick alongside McLaren in the live Optimizer. This page currently reflects the post-practice model stage.
FAQ
How many F1 Fantasy points is Oscar Piastri projected to score?
Oscar Piastri is currently projected for 15.7 expected fantasy points at the United States GP. The 90% simulation range is -11.7 to 35.0 points.
Is Oscar Piastri good value in F1 Fantasy?
Oscar Piastri costs $23.4M and has a value rating of 0.67 points per million for this round, so the model currently treats this as premium upside.
What team does Oscar Piastri drive for?
Oscar Piastri is listed with McLaren in the current BoxBoxF1Fantasy prediction file.
How has Oscar Piastri scored in F1 Fantasy this season?
BoxBox's completed-round history records 260 points across 17 rounds for Oscar Piastri, an average of 15.3 per round. The latest three-round average is 11.7.