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Kimi Antonelli F1 Fantasy 2026
Kimi Antonelli is ranked #3 by expected F1 Fantasy points for the United States Grand Prix, with a current projection of 24.0 points.
Current projection
| Current team | Mercedes |
|---|---|
| Current price | $27.1M |
| Expected points | 24.0 |
| Projected points | 30.1 |
| Value rating | 0.89 PPM (#6 of 22) |
| Predicted quali | P3 |
| Predicted finish | P3 |
| 90% confidence range | -2.8 to 42.0 pts |
| DNF probability | 4% |
| Expected overtakes | 6.0 |
Against the full driver field, Kimi Antonelli ranks #3 for expected points and #6 for points per million. The deterministic projection is 30.1 points, while the risk-adjusted simulation mean is 24.0.
Where the projection comes from
| Expected qualifying contribution | 7.8 pts |
|---|---|
| Expected race contribution | 16.3 pts |
| Expected positions gained/lost | +0.0 |
| Fastest-lap probability | 15% |
| Driver of the Day probability | 9% |
| Model confidence | 91% |
| Risk band | LOW |
The model expects Kimi Antonelli to move from P3 in qualifying to P3 in the race, with 6.0 expected overtakes. These are forecast components, not guaranteed scoring events.
Risk and upside
The 90% simulation interval runs from -2.8 to 42.0 points, around a 24.0-point mean. The modeled DNF probability is 4% and the current risk band is LOW. For this round, the price profile reads as premium upside; weather, reliability, safety cars, strategy and incidents can still move the outcome sharply.
2026 fantasy form
BoxBox's completed-round history records 684 fantasy points for Kimi Antonelli across 17 rounds in 2026: 40.2 per round on average and a 35.0-point median. The latest three-round average is 30.0, which is below the season average.
| Round | Race | Fantasy pts | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R19 | Singapore GP | 33 | Finished |
| R18 | Bahrain GP in Malaysia | 29 | Finished |
| R17 | Azerbaijan GP | 28 | Finished |
| R16 | Spanish GP (Madrid) | 35 | Finished |
| R15 | Italian GP | 93 | Finished |
Season range: best result 93 points at the Italian GP; lowest result -4 at the Spanish GP; 0 recorded DNFs.
Use this projection
Open the United States GP picks page for the full race context, compare Kimi Antonelli with the rest of the driver field, or test the pick alongside Mercedes in the live Optimizer. This page currently reflects the post-practice model stage.
FAQ
How many F1 Fantasy points is Kimi Antonelli projected to score?
Kimi Antonelli is currently projected for 24.0 expected fantasy points at the United States GP. The 90% simulation range is -2.8 to 42.0 points.
Is Kimi Antonelli good value in F1 Fantasy?
Kimi Antonelli costs $27.1M and has a value rating of 0.89 points per million for this round, so the model currently treats this as premium upside.
What team does Kimi Antonelli drive for?
Kimi Antonelli is listed with Mercedes in the current BoxBoxF1Fantasy prediction file.
How has Kimi Antonelli scored in F1 Fantasy this season?
BoxBox's completed-round history records 684 points across 17 rounds for Kimi Antonelli, an average of 40.2 per round. The latest three-round average is 30.0.