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Aston Martin F1 Fantasy Constructor 2026
Aston Martin is ranked #11 by expected constructor points for the Spanish Grand Prix (Madrid), with a current projection of -3.7 points.
Current projection
| Full team name | Aston Martin Aramco F1 Team |
|---|---|
| Listed drivers | Fernando Alonso and Lance Stroll |
| Current price | $6.9M |
| Expected points | -3.7 |
| Projected points | -2.9 |
| Expected pit-stop points | 2.4 |
| Qualifying bonus | -1.0 |
| Value rating | -0.54 PPM (#10 of 11) |
| 90% confidence range | -31.7 to 19.0 pts |
| DNF probability | 31% |
Against all 11 constructors, Aston Martin ranks #11 for expected points and #10 for points per million. The deterministic projection is -2.9 points, while the risk-adjusted simulation mean is -3.7.
Where the constructor projection comes from
| Qualifying contribution estimate | -1.0 pts |
|---|---|
| Race contribution estimate | -4.5 pts |
| Expected pit-stop points | 2.4 pts |
| Qualifying teamwork bonus | -1.0 pts |
| Expected DNF impact | -7.4 pts |
| Model risk band | HIGH |
These contribution estimates describe the scoring inputs around the deterministic forecast. They should not be added together and treated as the risk-adjusted mean, because the Monte Carlo simulation also samples correlated driver outcomes, DNFs and pit-stop results.
Driver contribution outlook
| Driver | Price | Exp. pts | Quali→Race | DNF risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Alonso | $7.0M | -2.6 | P19→P20 | 29% |
| Lance Stroll | $3.0M | -3.0 | P20→P22 | 33% |
Constructor scoring uses both listed drivers plus constructor-only bonuses. Driver boost multipliers never increase Aston Martin's constructor total.
Risk and upside
The 90% constructor interval runs from -31.7 to 19.0 points, around a -3.7-point mean. The modeled DNF probability is 31% and the current risk band is HIGH. Both cars, pit execution, weather and race incidents can widen the result.
2026 constructor form
BoxBox's completed-round history records -61 fantasy points for Aston Martin across 13 rounds in 2026: -4.7 per round on average and a -12.0-point median. The latest three-round average is 11.0, which is above the season average.
| Round | Race | Constructor pts |
|---|---|---|
| R15 | Italian GP | -21 |
| R14 | Dutch GP | 18 |
| R13 | Hungarian GP | 36 |
| R12 | Belgian GP | -13 |
| R11 | British GP | 16 |
Season range: best result 38 points at the Miami GP; lowest result -38 at the Australian GP.
Use this projection
Open the Spanish GP (Madrid) picks page for full race context, compare Aston Martin with the constructor field, inspect Fernando Alonso and Lance Stroll, or test the team in the live Optimizer. This page currently reflects the pre-practice model stage.
FAQ
How many F1 Fantasy points is Aston Martin projected to score?
Aston Martin is currently projected for -3.7 expected fantasy points at the Spanish GP (Madrid). The 90% simulation range is -31.7 to 19.0 points.
Is Aston Martin good value in F1 Fantasy?
Aston Martin costs $6.9M and has a value rating of -0.54 points per million for this round.
Which drivers count toward Aston Martin constructor points?
The current prediction file lists Fernando Alonso and Lance Stroll for Aston Martin. Constructor points include both drivers' qualifying and race scoring, pit-stop points and the qualifying teamwork bonus.
How has Aston Martin scored in F1 Fantasy this season?
BoxBox's completed-round history records -61 points across 13 rounds for Aston Martin, an average of -4.7 per round. The latest three-round average is 11.0.