Sergio Perez F1 Fantasy 2026
Sergio Perez is ranked #19 by expected F1 Fantasy points for the United States Grand Prix, with a current projection of -3.7 points.
Current projection
| Current team | Cadillac |
|---|---|
| Current price | $3.6M |
| Expected points | -3.7 |
| Projected points | -1.9 |
| Value rating | -1.03 PPM (#20 of 22) |
| Predicted quali | P21 |
| Predicted finish | P21 |
| 90% confidence range | -19.2 to 4.0 pts |
| DNF probability | 26% |
| Expected overtakes | 2.0 |
Against the full driver field, Sergio Perez ranks #19 for expected points and #20 for points per million. The deterministic projection is -1.9 points, while the risk-adjusted simulation mean is -3.7.
Where the projection comes from
| Expected qualifying contribution | 0.0 pts |
|---|---|
| Expected race contribution | -3.7 pts |
| Expected positions gained/lost | -2.0 |
| Fastest-lap probability | 1% |
| Driver of the Day probability | 2% |
| Model confidence | 91% |
| Risk band | HIGH |
The model expects Sergio Perez to move from P21 in qualifying to P21 in the race, with 2.0 expected overtakes. These are forecast components, not guaranteed scoring events.
Risk and upside
The 90% simulation interval runs from -19.2 to 4.0 points, around a -3.7-point mean. The modeled DNF probability is 26% and the current risk band is HIGH. For this round, the price profile reads as situational value; weather, reliability, safety cars, strategy and incidents can still move the outcome sharply.
2026 fantasy form
BoxBox's completed-round history records 19 fantasy points for Sergio Perez across 17 rounds in 2026: 1.1 per round on average and a 7.0-point median. The latest three-round average is 3.7, which is above the season average.
| Round | Race | Fantasy pts | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R19 | Singapore GP | -9 | Finished |
| R18 | Bahrain GP in Malaysia | 9 | Finished |
| R17 | Azerbaijan GP | 11 | Finished |
| R16 | Spanish GP (Madrid) | -18 | DNF |
| R15 | Italian GP | 13 | Finished |
Season range: best result 20 points at the Chinese GP; lowest result -20 at the Hungarian GP; 5 recorded DNFs.
Use this projection
Open the United States GP picks page for the full race context, compare Sergio Perez with the rest of the driver field, or test the pick alongside Cadillac in the live Optimizer. This page currently reflects the post-practice model stage.
FAQ
How many F1 Fantasy points is Sergio Perez projected to score?
Sergio Perez is currently projected for -3.7 expected fantasy points at the United States GP. The 90% simulation range is -19.2 to 4.0 points.
Is Sergio Perez good value in F1 Fantasy?
Sergio Perez costs $3.6M and has a value rating of -1.03 points per million for this round, so the model currently treats this as situational value.
What team does Sergio Perez drive for?
Sergio Perez is listed with Cadillac in the current BoxBoxF1Fantasy prediction file.
How has Sergio Perez scored in F1 Fantasy this season?
BoxBox's completed-round history records 19 points across 17 rounds for Sergio Perez, an average of 1.1 per round. The latest three-round average is 3.7.