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Arvid Lindblad F1 Fantasy 2026
Arvid Lindblad is ranked #8 by expected F1 Fantasy points for the United States Grand Prix, with a current projection of 14.6 points.
Current projection
| Current team | Racing Bulls |
|---|---|
| Current price | $10.0M |
| Expected points | 14.6 |
| Projected points | 17.2 |
| Value rating | 1.46 PPM (#3 of 22) |
| Predicted quali | P12 |
| Predicted finish | P10 |
| 90% confidence range | -8.5 to 31.0 pts |
| DNF probability | 4% |
| Expected overtakes | 9.0 |
Against the full driver field, Arvid Lindblad ranks #8 for expected points and #3 for points per million. The deterministic projection is 17.2 points, while the risk-adjusted simulation mean is 14.6.
Where the projection comes from
| Expected qualifying contribution | 0.6 pts |
|---|---|
| Expected race contribution | 14.0 pts |
| Expected positions gained/lost | +7.0 |
| Fastest-lap probability | 4% |
| Driver of the Day probability | 9% |
| Model confidence | 100% |
| Risk band | LOW |
The model expects Arvid Lindblad to move from P12 in qualifying to P10 in the race, with 9.0 expected overtakes. These are forecast components, not guaranteed scoring events.
Risk and upside
The 90% simulation interval runs from -8.5 to 31.0 points, around a 14.6-point mean. The modeled DNF probability is 4% and the current risk band is LOW. For this round, the price profile reads as strong value; weather, reliability, safety cars, strategy and incidents can still move the outcome sharply.
2026 fantasy form
BoxBox's completed-round history records 133 fantasy points for Arvid Lindblad across 17 rounds in 2026: 7.8 per round on average and a 7.0-point median. The latest three-round average is 15.3, which is above the season average.
| Round | Race | Fantasy pts | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R19 | Singapore GP | 1 | Finished |
| R18 | Bahrain GP in Malaysia | 28 | Finished |
| R17 | Azerbaijan GP | 17 | Finished |
| R16 | Spanish GP (Madrid) | 5 | Finished |
| R15 | Italian GP | 11 | Finished |
Season range: best result 28 points at the Bahrain GP in Malaysia; lowest result -16 at the Canadian GP; 0 recorded DNFs.
Use this projection
Open the United States GP picks page for the full race context, compare Arvid Lindblad with the rest of the driver field, or test the pick alongside Racing Bulls in the live Optimizer. This page currently reflects the post-practice model stage.
FAQ
How many F1 Fantasy points is Arvid Lindblad projected to score?
Arvid Lindblad is currently projected for 14.6 expected fantasy points at the United States GP. The 90% simulation range is -8.5 to 31.0 points.
Is Arvid Lindblad good value in F1 Fantasy?
Arvid Lindblad costs $10.0M and has a value rating of 1.46 points per million for this round, so the model currently treats this as strong value.
What team does Arvid Lindblad drive for?
Arvid Lindblad is listed with Racing Bulls in the current BoxBoxF1Fantasy prediction file.
How has Arvid Lindblad scored in F1 Fantasy this season?
BoxBox's completed-round history records 133 points across 17 rounds for Arvid Lindblad, an average of 7.8 per round. The latest three-round average is 15.3.