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Charles Leclerc F1 Fantasy 2026
Charles Leclerc is ranked #1 by expected F1 Fantasy points for the United States Grand Prix, with a current projection of 29.8 points.
Current projection
| Current team | Ferrari |
|---|---|
| Current price | $24.1M |
| Expected points | 29.8 |
| Projected points | 37.7 |
| Value rating | 1.24 PPM (#4 of 22) |
| Predicted quali | P1 |
| Predicted finish | P1 |
| 90% confidence range | -9.7 to 51.0 pts |
| DNF probability | 14% |
| Expected overtakes | 6.0 |
Against the full driver field, Charles Leclerc ranks #1 for expected points and #4 for points per million. The deterministic projection is 37.7 points, while the risk-adjusted simulation mean is 29.8.
Where the projection comes from
| Expected qualifying contribution | 8.1 pts |
|---|---|
| Expected race contribution | 21.7 pts |
| Expected positions gained/lost | +0.0 |
| Fastest-lap probability | 15% |
| Driver of the Day probability | 9% |
| Model confidence | 90% |
| Risk band | MEDIUM |
The model expects Charles Leclerc to move from P1 in qualifying to P1 in the race, with 6.0 expected overtakes. These are forecast components, not guaranteed scoring events.
Risk and upside
The 90% simulation interval runs from -9.7 to 51.0 points, around a 29.8-point mean. The modeled DNF probability is 14% and the current risk band is MEDIUM. For this round, the price profile reads as strong value; weather, reliability, safety cars, strategy and incidents can still move the outcome sharply.
2026 fantasy form
BoxBox's completed-round history records 427 fantasy points for Charles Leclerc across 17 rounds in 2026: 25.1 per round on average and a 29.0-point median. The latest three-round average is 32.0, which is above the season average.
| Round | Race | Fantasy pts | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R19 | Singapore GP | 43 | Finished |
| R18 | Bahrain GP in Malaysia | 33 | Finished |
| R17 | Azerbaijan GP | 20 | Finished |
| R16 | Spanish GP (Madrid) | 19 | Finished |
| R15 | Italian GP | -12 | DNF |
Season range: best result 54 points at the British GP; lowest result -13 at the Monaco GP; 2 recorded DNFs.
Use this projection
Open the United States GP picks page for the full race context, compare Charles Leclerc with the rest of the driver field, or test the pick alongside Ferrari in the live Optimizer. This page currently reflects the post-practice model stage.
FAQ
How many F1 Fantasy points is Charles Leclerc projected to score?
Charles Leclerc is currently projected for 29.8 expected fantasy points at the United States GP. The 90% simulation range is -9.7 to 51.0 points.
Is Charles Leclerc good value in F1 Fantasy?
Charles Leclerc costs $24.1M and has a value rating of 1.24 points per million for this round, so the model currently treats this as strong value.
What team does Charles Leclerc drive for?
Charles Leclerc is listed with Ferrari in the current BoxBoxF1Fantasy prediction file.
How has Charles Leclerc scored in F1 Fantasy this season?
BoxBox's completed-round history records 427 points across 17 rounds for Charles Leclerc, an average of 25.1 per round. The latest three-round average is 32.0.