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George Russell F1 Fantasy 2026
George Russell is ranked #5 by expected F1 Fantasy points for the United States Grand Prix, with a current projection of 19.7 points.
Current projection
| Current team | Mercedes |
|---|---|
| Current price | $27.9M |
| Expected points | 19.7 |
| Projected points | 21.6 |
| Value rating | 0.71 PPM (#9 of 22) |
| Predicted quali | P5 |
| Predicted finish | P4 |
| 90% confidence range | -11.9 to 42.0 pts |
| DNF probability | 14% |
| Expected overtakes | 5.0 |
Against the full driver field, George Russell ranks #5 for expected points and #9 for points per million. The deterministic projection is 21.6 points, while the risk-adjusted simulation mean is 19.7.
Where the projection comes from
| Expected qualifying contribution | 6.2 pts |
|---|---|
| Expected race contribution | 13.5 pts |
| Expected positions gained/lost | +1.0 |
| Fastest-lap probability | 7% |
| Driver of the Day probability | 6% |
| Model confidence | 93% |
| Risk band | MEDIUM |
The model expects George Russell to move from P5 in qualifying to P4 in the race, with 5.0 expected overtakes. These are forecast components, not guaranteed scoring events.
Risk and upside
The 90% simulation interval runs from -11.9 to 42.0 points, around a 19.7-point mean. The modeled DNF probability is 14% and the current risk band is MEDIUM. For this round, the price profile reads as premium upside; weather, reliability, safety cars, strategy and incidents can still move the outcome sharply.
2026 fantasy form
BoxBox's completed-round history records 425 fantasy points for George Russell across 17 rounds in 2026: 25.0 per round on average and a 28.0-point median. The latest three-round average is 19.0, which is below the season average.
| Round | Race | Fantasy pts | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R19 | Singapore GP | 17 | Finished |
| R18 | Bahrain GP in Malaysia | -5 | Finished |
| R17 | Azerbaijan GP | 45 | Finished |
| R16 | Spanish GP (Madrid) | 27 | Finished |
| R15 | Italian GP | 33 | Finished |
Season range: best result 45 points at the Chinese GP; lowest result -11 at the Belgian GP; 2 recorded DNFs.
Use this projection
Open the United States GP picks page for the full race context, compare George Russell with the rest of the driver field, or test the pick alongside Mercedes in the live Optimizer. This page currently reflects the post-practice model stage.
FAQ
How many F1 Fantasy points is George Russell projected to score?
George Russell is currently projected for 19.7 expected fantasy points at the United States GP. The 90% simulation range is -11.9 to 42.0 points.
Is George Russell good value in F1 Fantasy?
George Russell costs $27.9M and has a value rating of 0.71 points per million for this round, so the model currently treats this as premium upside.
What team does George Russell drive for?
George Russell is listed with Mercedes in the current BoxBoxF1Fantasy prediction file.
How has George Russell scored in F1 Fantasy this season?
BoxBox's completed-round history records 425 points across 17 rounds for George Russell, an average of 25.0 per round. The latest three-round average is 19.0.