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F1 Fantasy Results: Italian Grand Prix 2026
Recorded F1 Fantasy results and forecast review for the Italian Grand Prix (round 15, 2026). Kimi Antonelli led the driver scoring with 93 points. The actual tables come first; the original prediction remains below for transparency.
Recorded F1 Fantasy results
The race is complete. These are recorded base fantasy scores, without a manager-specific 2x or 3x multiplier.
Driver fantasy points
| Rank | Driver | Team | Quali→Race | Gained | Overtakes | Fantasy pts | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kimi Antonelli | Mercedes | P7→P1 | 18 | 26 | 93 | 3.54 |
| 2 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull | P6→P3 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 1.35 |
| 3 | Oscar Piastri | Mclaren | P3→P5 | 1 | 16 | 35 | 1.46 |
| 4 | George Russell | Mercedes | P2→P2 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 1.19 |
| 5 | Lando Norris | Mclaren | P9→P4 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 1.20 |
| 6 | Lewis Hamilton | Ferrari | P5→P6 | -2 | 14 | 26 | 1.03 |
| 7 | Liam Lawson | Red Bull | P14→P14 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 1.75 |
| 8 | Yuki Tsunoda | Racing Bulls | P17→P10 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 1.75 |
| 9 | Alex Albon | Williams | P18→P17 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 2.93 |
| 10 | Pierre Gasly | Alpine | P1→P7 | -6 | 4 | 14 | 1.15 |
| 11 | Franco Colapinto | Alpine | P8→P9 | -2 | 11 | 14 | 1.35 |
| 12 | Gabriel Bortoleto | Audi | P11→P11 | -1 | 15 | 14 | 1.63 |
| 13 | Nico Hulkenberg | Audi | P13→P12 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 3.33 |
| 14 | Carlos Sainz | Williams | P15→P13 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 1.46 |
| 15 | Sergio Perez | Cadillac | P20→P18 | -1 | 14 | 13 | 4.33 |
| 16 | Arvid Lindblad | Racing Bulls | P10→P8 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 1.38 |
| 17 | Esteban Ocon | Haas | P16→P16 | -2 | 12 | 10 | 1.05 |
| 18 | Oliver Bearman | Haas | P12→P15 | -4 | 8 | 4 | 0.62 |
| 19 | Valtteri Bottas | Cadillac | P19→P19 | -3 | 7 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 20 | Lance Stroll | Aston Martin | P22→DNF | 0 | 10 | -10 | -3.33 |
| 21 | Fernando Alonso | Aston Martin | P21→DNF | 0 | 10 | -10 | -1.43 |
| 22 | Charles Leclerc | Ferrari | P4→DNF | 0 | 1 | -12 | -0.50 |
Constructor fantasy points
| Rank | Constructor | Quali | Race | Sprint | Pit stops | Fantasy pts | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mercedes | 13 | 103 | 0 | 2 | 128 | 3.86 |
| 2 | McLaren | 10 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 2.44 |
| 3 | Red Bull | 5 | 57 | 0 | 2 | 69 | 2.19 |
| 4 | Audi | 0 | 28 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 5.12 |
| 5 | Alpine | 13 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 1.98 |
| 6 | Williams | 0 | 31 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 2.46 |
| 7 | Racing Bulls | 1 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 2.34 |
| 8 | Ferrari | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0.88 |
| 9 | Haas | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1.57 |
| 10 | Cadillac | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5.33 |
| 11 | Aston Martin | 0 | -20 | 0 | 0 | -21 | -3.04 |
Forecast review
Archived pre-race prediction
Archived optimized forecast lineup: Italian Grand Prix
This was the model's $100M Balanced lineup before the race — the mean of deterministic projected points and the risk-adjusted simulation mean — with a normal 2x boost on Kimi Antonelli. It is preserved for review and is not a current recommendation.
| Pick | Slot | Price | Balanced pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | Driver / 2x boost | $26.0M | 48.2 |
| Nico Hulkenberg | Driver | $3.6M | 0.5 |
| Lance Stroll | Driver | $3.0M | -3.3 |
| Valtteri Bottas | Driver | $3.0M | -3.8 |
| Sergio Perez | Driver | $3.2M | -4.4 |
| Mercedes | Constructor | $32.9M | 94.7 |
| Ferrari | Constructor | $26.9M | 60.4 |
Archived driver projections
Ranked by the archived forecast of fantasy points for the Italian GP. PPM = points per $million (value).
| # | Driver | Team | Price | Quali→Race | Pred. pts | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kimi Antonelli | Mercedes | $26.0M | P2→P5 | 45.5 | 1.75 |
| 2 | George Russell | Mercedes | $27.6M | P1→P1 | 27.1 | 0.98 |
| 3 | Charles Leclerc | Ferrari | $24.2M | P5→P2 | 23.3 | 0.96 |
| 4 | Lewis Hamilton | Ferrari | $25.1M | P4→P6 | 21.6 | 0.86 |
| 5 | Lando Norris | McLaren | $26.4M | P3→P3 | 20.1 | 0.76 |
| 6 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull | $27.5M | P7→P4 | 19.0 | 0.69 |
| 7 | Oscar Piastri | McLaren | $24.1M | P6→P7 | 10.9 | 0.45 |
| 8 | Liam Lawson | Red Bull | $14.3M | P10→P8 | 10.7 | 0.75 |
| 9 | Alex Albon | Williams | $5.2M | P18→P16 | 7.2 | 1.38 |
| 10 | Yuki Tsunoda | Racing Bulls | $9.7M | P14→P13 | 5.7 | 0.59 |
Archived value projections (PPM)
The most points per $million spent — the budget-stretchers that let you afford a premium elsewhere.
| Driver | Team | Price | Pred. pts | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | Mercedes | $26.0M | 45.5 | 1.75 |
| Alex Albon | Williams | $5.2M | 7.2 | 1.38 |
| George Russell | Mercedes | $27.6M | 27.1 | 0.98 |
| Charles Leclerc | Ferrari | $24.2M | 23.3 | 0.96 |
| Lewis Hamilton | Ferrari | $25.1M | 21.6 | 0.86 |
| Lando Norris | McLaren | $26.4M | 20.1 | 0.76 |
Archived constructor projections
Constructors score both their drivers' points plus pit-stop points and a qualifying bonus — don't overlook them.
| Constructor | Price | Pred. pts | Pit-stop pts | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercedes | $32.9M | 87.3 | 7.7 | 2.65 |
| Ferrari | $26.9M | 58.8 | 5.7 | 2.19 |
| McLaren | $31.3M | 43.9 | 4.4 | 1.40 |
| Red Bull | $31.2M | 39.2 | 3.7 | 1.26 |
| Racing Bulls | $13.5M | 23.3 | 7.6 | 1.73 |
| Alpine | $18.9M | 16.4 | 2.0 | 0.87 |
| Williams | $13.2M | 10.9 | 3.2 | 0.83 |
| Audi | $7.4M | 10.4 | 4.0 | 1.41 |
FAQ
Who scored the most F1 Fantasy points at the Italian GP 2026?
Kimi Antonelli recorded 93 base fantasy points, the highest driver total for the round.
Which constructor scored the most fantasy points at the Italian GP?
Mercedes led the constructor scoring with 128 points.
Do these Italian GP results include 2x or 3x boosts?
No. The result tables show each asset's recorded base fantasy score. Manager-specific 2x and 3x multipliers depend on the lineup and are not included.
How accurate was the Italian GP forecast?
The archived forecast placed 3 of the actual top five drivers inside its projected top five. Its all-driver mean absolute fantasy-points error was 13.7. The original forecast remains on the page below the results.