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F1 Fantasy Picks: United States Grand Prix 2026
Free, data-driven F1 Fantasy picks for the United States Grand Prix (round 20, 2026). Below are the model's top driver and constructor picks, the best value (points-per-million) options, and the pick to captain. This is the current post-practice forecast for the upcoming round.
United States GP race-week brief
Forecast stage: Post-practice forecast · model run October 24, 2026. Current-weekend free-practice telemetry is included. This is the primary actionable forecast before the fantasy lock.
- Top risk-adjusted driver: Charles Leclerc at 29.8 expected points.
- Strongest downside floor: Kimi Antonelli has the highest driver P5 outcome (-2.8 pts) in the 90% interval.
- Largest upside gap: Max Verstappen reaches 51.0 pts at P95 versus 27.8 expected.
- Best points-per-million: Gabriel Bortoleto at 2.36 PPM and $7.0M.
- Top constructor: Ferrari at 63.8 expected points.
- Risk watch among the top ten: Lando Norris carries the highest modeled DNF probability (18%).
- Team lock: October 24, 2026 21:00 UTC (qualifying start).
United States GP weather outlook
Latest forecast: Updated October 24, 2026 from Open-Meteo. The highest rain risk across the weekend is currently rated none.
- FP1: 0% rain probability (none risk), clear sky, around 24.7°C.
- Qualifying: 0% rain probability (none risk), clear sky, around 28.8°C.
- Race: 0% rain probability (none risk), overcast, around 27.1°C.
Prediction impact: No extra rain or cool-weather simulation adjustments were applied, using weather from October 24, 2026 19:37 UTC.
Current optimized team: United States Grand Prix
This crawlable $100M snapshot uses the live optimizer's default Balanced basis — the mean of deterministic projected points and the risk-adjusted simulation mean — with a normal 2x boost on Charles Leclerc. For locks, exclusions, chips and custom budgets, use the live Optimizer.
| Pick | Slot | Price | Balanced pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Leclerc | Driver / 2x boost | $24.1M | 33.8 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | Driver | $7.0M | 17.6 |
| Arvid Lindblad | Driver | $10.0M | 15.9 |
| Franco Colapinto | Driver | $8.8M | 15.2 |
| Liam Lawson | Driver | $9.9M | 8.1 |
| Ferrari | Constructor | $28.2M | 67.9 |
| Audi | Constructor | $10.4M | 26.9 |
Top driver picks
Ranked by predicted fantasy points for the United States GP. PPM = points per $million (value).
| # | Driver | Team | Price | Quali→Race | Pred. pts | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Leclerc | Ferrari | $24.1M | P1→P1 | 29.8 | 1.24 |
| 2 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull | $28.2M | P4→P2 | 27.8 | 0.99 |
| 3 | Kimi Antonelli | Mercedes | $27.1M | P3→P3 | 24.0 | 0.89 |
| 4 | Lewis Hamilton | Ferrari | $24.4M | P2→P5 | 20.7 | 0.85 |
| 5 | George Russell | Mercedes | $27.9M | P5→P4 | 19.7 | 0.71 |
| 6 | Gabriel Bortoleto | Audi | $7.0M | P13→P13 | 16.5 | 2.36 |
| 7 | Oscar Piastri | McLaren | $23.4M | P7→P6 | 15.7 | 0.67 |
| 8 | Arvid Lindblad | Racing Bulls | $10.0M | P12→P10 | 14.6 | 1.46 |
| 9 | Franco Colapinto | Alpine | $8.8M | P15→P12 | 13.3 | 1.51 |
| 10 | Lando Norris | McLaren | $26.1M | P6→P7 | 11.5 | 0.44 |
Best value picks (PPM)
The most points per $million spent — the budget-stretchers that let you afford a premium elsewhere.
| Driver | Team | Price | Pred. pts | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Bortoleto | Audi | $7.0M | 16.5 | 2.36 |
| Franco Colapinto | Alpine | $8.8M | 13.3 | 1.51 |
| Arvid Lindblad | Racing Bulls | $10.0M | 14.6 | 1.46 |
| Charles Leclerc | Ferrari | $24.1M | 29.8 | 1.24 |
| Max Verstappen | Red Bull | $28.2M | 27.8 | 0.99 |
| Kimi Antonelli | Mercedes | $27.1M | 24.0 | 0.89 |
Top constructor picks
Constructors score both their drivers' points plus pit-stop points and a qualifying bonus — don't overlook them.
| Constructor | Price | Pred. pts | Pit-stop pts | PPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferrari | $28.2M | 63.8 | 4.7 | 2.26 |
| Mercedes | $34.0M | 60.0 | 7.6 | 1.76 |
| Red Bull | $32.7M | 49.6 | 4.6 | 1.52 |
| McLaren | $32.4M | 39.2 | 3.5 | 1.21 |
| Racing Bulls | $16.5M | 33.1 | 6.0 | 2.01 |
| Audi | $10.4M | 26.5 | 4.6 | 2.55 |
| Alpine | $18.8M | 17.8 | 2.4 | 0.95 |
| Haas | $12.0M | 5.2 | 0.9 | 0.43 |
FAQ
Who are the best F1 Fantasy picks for the United States GP?
Our model's top projected scorers for the United States Grand Prix are Charles Leclerc, Max Verstappen, Kimi Antonelli. For value, Gabriel Bortoleto offers the best points per million. The full ranked list is in the table above.
What's the best F1 Fantasy team for the United States GP?
Build it in seconds with our free Optimizer, which checks all 1.4 million legal 5-driver, 2-constructor lineups within your budget. The picks on this page are the building blocks for it.
How are these United States GP predictions made?
Machine-learning models trained on 2020-2026 data predict qualifying and race positions, then a 10,000-run Monte Carlo simulation turns them into expected fantasy points. Predictions sharpen as practice and qualifying data arrive across the weekend.