Bahrain Grand Prix in Malaysia: the FP2 picture
Our post-FP2 simulation for round 18 is now live. These are average Fantasy points across the simulations, using the practice data available so far. Qualifying and the race have not happened; the numbers will change if new information arrives.
Leading drivers
- Max Verstappen — 24.1 expected points at £27.6m. The middle 90% of simulated outcomes runs from -10.5 to 50.0 points.
- Kimi Antonelli — 22.9 expected points at £26.9m. The middle 90% of simulated outcomes runs from -7.7 to 44.0 points.
- Arvid Lindblad — 22.6 expected points at £8.8m. The middle 90% of simulated outcomes runs from -12.6 to 40.0 points.
The wide ranges show why a high average is only part of the decision: a strong result and a difficult weekend are both possible.
Constructor watch
- Mercedes — 56.7 expected points; middle 90% from 18.0 to 91.0.
- Red Bull — 56.0 expected points; middle 90% from 8.0 to 93.0.
A lower-cost option
Arvid Lindblad has the highest expected points among drivers priced at or below the field's median price: 22.6 points at £8.8m. That makes them a useful budget comparison, although the projection alone does not account for the rest of your team's balance.
Before locking your team
Use this as an early shortlist. Compare the current prices and uncertainty ranges on the Drivers and Constructors pages, then revisit the predictions if FP3 or other weekend information changes the outlook. The FP2 simulation snapshot behind this article is preserved. These are model estimates, not guaranteed scores.